Today I wanted to take a quick look at how Dickey's stats looked compared to last years Cy Young winners so we can get a feel about what we need to see from his last three starts to seal the deal. Below are the season ending stats of last years Cy Young winners, I focused on basic stats as that is what the Cy Young voters presumably would consider the most.
|
IP
|
W
|
ERA
|
K
|
Kershaw
|
233.1
|
21
|
2.28
|
248
|
Verlander
|
251
|
24
|
2.4o
|
250
|
Here is where Dickey and the other contyenders are now
|
IP
|
W
|
ERA
|
K
|
Dickey
|
212
|
18
|
2.67
|
205
|
Kershaw
|
206
|
12
|
2.7
|
206
|
Gonzalez
|
186.1
|
19
|
2.95
|
196
|
Cueto
|
197
|
17
|
2.92
|
157
|
We can safely assume that Kershaw is out of the running at this point due to injury, leaving us with a two man race. Frankly I think it is nearly impossible for any of these guys to match the 2011 award winners numbers at this point, if anyone has a chance to come close, it's Dickey. Verlander is already uncatchable in wins, Dickey would need to go for 3-3 to match Clayton, which I don't expect. Strike outs are also nearly out of hand. I think an absolute dream scenario would be for Dickey to have 3 more 10 K outing, which would still put him 13 short of Kershaw. Really the only stat here Dickey or anybody could conceivably reach is passing Kershaw in IP.
I think this activity shows us two things. One that last years Cy Young winners were a good portion better than this years. More importantly that Dickey is the only pitcher even close on most levels to be as good as last years crop. From a statistical standpoint, the award is really Dickey's to lose. Also for once in my life, I am happy for the intangibles that sports writers use in judging players because Dickey has them in droves. He is an all around class act, great ambassador for baseball, hard working, gritty player and all time great come back under dog story. If Dickey loses this I will be absolutely shocked.
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