Wednesday, April 25, 2012

Wednesday Morning Mets Prospectus: Pelfrey dissapoints, Schwinden and Carson numbers, Johan triumphant and Reyes defeated.

Well Mike Pelfrey has done it again, he has found a new and unexpected way to bother me. After an off-season of making the case for why Pelf shouldn't be a Met, he goes out, proves me wrong and puts up the best numbers on the team...then promptly suffers what could be a season ending injury. Pelf was sporting a 3.10 FIP, 2.29 ERA and a totally respectable 5.95 k/9. His injury leaves a gaping and seemingly unfillable hole in the Mets rotation.

Right now it looks like Chris Schwinden will make the spot start for Pelf on Friday. Last year Schwin started 4 games for the Mets going 21 innings sporting a 4.71 ERA and more respectable 3.03 FIP, he struck out 7.29 batters per 9. I can't lie and say I remember these starts but his numbers look perfectly respectable for a spot starter, obviously I am worried about a guy who is in AAA right now coming up to the show, but he has some experience and has shown an ability to pitch in MLB.

This year in AAA he has started 4 games, going 2-2 and posting a .205 ERA with a k/9 of 5.68 and a bb/9 of 3.68. Not but bad but not exactly dominant, which I would expect from a guy in AAA who is about to pitch against the Rockies.

The Mets are also, improbably, calling up LHP Robert Carson. Carson has never played a day of AAA baseball and is bypassing it totally for a shot in the show. In 2011 for AA Binghamton, Carson threw a terrible 5.05 ERA and 4.56 FIP. The year prior to that he threw an ERA over 8. I really can't understand this decision, everything about this kid screams more time in the minors and the Mets are putting him on the 25 man roster. Let's hope they know something that I can't see from his stats.

Finally, Johan was brilliant last night. He went 6.2 innings, giving up only 3 hits and striking out 11. Yesterday was a key start for Santana as we were all anxious to find out how he would rebound from his awful last start. So far this season Johan has continued to prove himself and I expect to see more great starts from him. The other best part about last night? Reyes went 0-4. I don't hate Reyes for any particular reason, I don't blame him for leaving either. The simple truth is, he was once a Met and now he is a Marlin, therefore I wish him nothing but a total lack of success.

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