Monday, June 4, 2012

Monday Mets Prospectus

Well the Mets had about a good weekend as we can hope for. The Mets took three from the Cardinals, have all but gotten their run differential to even, are tied for first and oh wait...JOHAN SANTANA  THREW A MOTHERFUCKING NO HITTER. In case you had forgotten. How great was it that not only did he throw a no no, but that Beltran, Yadi Molina and Adam Wainwright were all involved, the demons of '06 have be exorcised. It could have only been better if after Baxter came out of the game Endy Chavez just mysteriously walked out of the tunnel and started playing center.

Here are a few random Monday factoids for you:

1) Did you know the Mets four regular starters all have a k/9 over 8 (with Johan at a team high of 9)? This team is just strikeout city.

2) David Wright remains locked in second place for the best player in baseball right now. His WAR is 3.4, Josh Hamilton is at 3.5. I am watching daily for when he finally takes the spot.

3) The Mets successes have improved (or worsened depending on how you look at it) our Vegas odds for the pennant. When we last checked we were a +2500 bet to win the NL Pennant and are now down to +2000. Our odds to win the world series were +5000 and are now down to +3000. Hope you got your bets in early.

4) The Mets have the third lowest xFIP in baseball (3.65), behind only the Nats and Phillies.

5) The MLB draft is tonight. The draft has gotten a lot cooler since MLB network started showing it live and more and more players are reaching the league quickly. The Mets 1st round draft picks are usually not that great. Let's hope for a Scott Kazmir and not a Billy Taber.







4 comments:

  1. The mets are 3rd? in xFIP? Really?
    Are there splits on the bullpen xFIP and starters xFIP? Because that would mean the bullpen has just been unlucky?

    ReplyDelete
  2. The bullpen has been both unlucky and bad.

    The Mets starters all have low xFIP's which help lower the average. The bullpens oft mentioned high ERA is definitely way higher than their xFIP's for example.

    Acosta ERA: 11.86, xFIP: 4.92
    Francisco ERA: 5.92, xFIP: 3.83

    ReplyDelete
  3. Well, this sort of gives me hope for the bullpen that they can settle down and at least be an average bullpen instead of an atrocious one.
    I actually really liked Acosta and i still think he has good stuff, but like Ike, the results just haven't been there. I hope he can figure it out in the minors.
    The one thing i don't like about terry collins is his bullpen usage. I think that he tends to leave people in way too long (mainly Acosta and Ramirez) and that's why he has struggled and uses some people too much(mainly Brydak but also Parnell/Rauch). It seems like there are always 1-2 guys in the bullpen that were never or rarely used when they were up (Carson,Egbert,Schwinden).

    Another thing it seems like Collins doesn't do enough is send his pitching coach out there when the pitcher is struggling. I have remembered way too many times where he just lets the pitching try to pitch through it when clearly he could use a breather or some words of encouragement.
    Just my 2 cents

    ReplyDelete
  4. I think the thing about the bullpen is that they have each showed some ability to be great and been absolute trash the theme of the Mets bullpen this year has been inconsistent.

    Both Acosta and Ramirez have had the stuff before this year. Acotsa current ERA is 11.86, prior to this year he was never above 4.34 and was much more regularly in the 2- mid 3 range.

    I agree we don't mix up the appearances well at all.

    ReplyDelete