Name
|
IP
|
SV
|
BS
|
K/9
|
BB/9
|
ERA
|
xFIP
|
Bobby
Parnell
|
35
|
2
|
3
|
8.74
|
2.06
|
2.83
|
3.1
|
Ramon
Ramirez
|
31.2
|
1
|
2
|
7.67
|
3.69
|
3.98
|
4.34
|
Jon Rauch
|
31.1
|
1
|
3
|
6.03
|
1.72
|
4.02
|
4.35
|
Frank
Francisco
|
29
|
18
|
3
|
9.62
|
4.34
|
4.97
|
4.18
|
Tim
Byrdak
|
22.2
|
0
|
1
|
9.93
|
4.76
|
3.57
|
3.86
|
Miguel
Batista
|
22.2
|
0
|
0
|
7.94
|
6.75
|
4.37
|
4.97
|
Manny
Acosta
|
22
|
0
|
1
|
9.41
|
6.14
|
11.86
|
5.01
|
The answer is, sorta. Right off the bat you can see that Acosta inflates the teams stats pretty hard, our ERA without him is 3.95, a full run lower. Frank Frank is actually doing worse than I expected and I had reasonably low expectations for him. His ERA is about a run higher than career and his xFIP a 1/2 run higher. He is also blowing more saves, he had 4 apiece each of the last three years and is almost assured to break that in 2012. His component stats are just as bad his k/9 is about a SO lower and his bb/9 is over a full walk higher than average. Man, writing this paragraph made me dislike Frank Frank even more than I did earlier.
Bobby Parnell however is pitching wonderfully. Just look at his imporvement this year over his career numbers:
k/9
|
bb/9
|
ERA
|
xFIP
|
|
career
|
8.41
|
3.68
|
4.08
|
3.76
|
2012
|
8.74
|
2.06
|
2.83
|
3.1
|
Huge leaps all around. While I still think the Mets top priority should be signing a closer I am getting to close to the point where I wouldn't mind seeing Parnell get a real extended shot at the job not just the garbage time and injury fill ins of the past few years.
All in all, this is a bullpen that freaks me out. They are the kings of inconsistency. I don't think they are quite as bad as the numbers indicate but unless something changes they will be the biggest factor keeping me us from the playoffs. This team has 13 blown saves on the season, the league average is 10. Meaning that with an average bullpen we could have three more wins. One and a half games out of first and already the owner of a wildcard spot.
Frank Frank has 18 saves and thus must be good, that is how I evaluate closers.
ReplyDeleteRemember when we were screaming for Rauch to be the closer? LOL. He was tremendous for his first 10? appereances and has been a disaster since(like Beato last year). It's hard to use ERA to measure relievers because they pitch so few innings it is so easy for one bad outing to screw it up. However, there's no denying that this has a been a bad bullpen. Pretty much everyone but Parnell/Brydak/Batista has been a disappointment.
ReplyDeleteAlso, you can have more than 1 blown save in a game(if you remember they had 3 in that one game vs Washington), as non-closers can get them, so in my mind, 1 blown save does not equal a loss.
I do remember the glory days of Rauch, just another Met who is outstandingly inconsistent. I agree about ERA and have long been an advocate of needing whole new stats for relievers but for now it is what we have and I still does an OK job of rating success.
ReplyDeleteI get your point about multiple blown save games but they are rare enough I don't feel I need to factor them in.
What's your prediction for the Braves series.
I'm honestly not sure what to expect from the Braves sieres. The most important thing by far is that Santana pitches on Sunday, which when i lasted checked the probables still listed it as TBA.(I don't want to see Batista until June 21st, when the Mets need a 5th starter)It would be a devasting blow if Santana has to miss time in the 2nd half.
ReplyDeleteThe Key in the first game is usage of Chris Young. We have seen that Young can get really ineffective the 3rd time thru the batting order, and i hope collins has a better read on Young. At the worst, we'll see him go 5-7 while giving up 2/3 ER.
I had to check up the weather on Saturday, and it looks like they have high humidity with t-storms, and i pray to God it doesn't rain. Last time Dickey was here, he said it was like "throwing a waterballoon".
For the 3rd game, the mets are going up against an unknown in Ben Sheets, but more likely than not, he will probably be rusty and the mets should be able to score enough runs to beat him.
Any of the games are up for grabs, but the mets need to at least win 1. I wouldn't mind losing 2 of 3 to the braves if it meant a sweep of the Nats, which is much more important series.